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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Sun 22 Mar 2026

19:15

Venue

Stadion Wojska Polskiego

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Legia Warszawa Win

44%

Legia Warszawa

2.26

26%

Draw

3.81

30%

Raków Częstochowa

3.39

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.7%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.4%

Home win

2 – 1

9.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.57

Legia Warszawa xG

Total xG

2.81

1.24

Raków Częstochowa xG

44%
26%
30%
Legia WarszawaDrawRaków Częstochowa

2.26

44%

Home win

3.81

26%

Draw

3.39

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.75

43%

BTTS No

2.33

Clean Sheet

29%

Legia Warszawa

3.47

21%

Raków Częstochowa

4.80

Win to Nil

13%

Legia Warszawa

7.84

6%

Raków Częstochowa

16.24

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.0 7.5 4.6 1.9 0.6 0.1
1 9.4 11.7 7.3 3.0 0.9 0.2
2 7.4 9.2 5.7 2.4 0.7 0.2
3 3.9 4.8 3.0 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 1.5 1.9 1.2 0.5 0.2
5 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.568
λ Away (xG) 1.243
Total xG 2.811
League avg home goals 1.417
League avg away goals 1.111
Legia Warszawa attack strength 0.934
Legia Warszawa defence strength 0.938
Raków Częstochowa attack strength 1.193
Raków Częstochowa defence strength 1.186
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 59 / 59