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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Sat 15 Feb 2025

19:15

Venue

Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszałka Józefa Piłsudskiego

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Legia Warszawa Win

53%

Legia Warszawa

1.90

26%

Draw

3.85

21%

Puszcza Niepołomice

4.66

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.2%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.0%

Draw

2 – 0

10.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.57

Legia Warszawa xG

Total xG

2.47

0.91

Puszcza Niepołomice xG

53%
26%
21%
Legia WarszawaDrawPuszcza Niepołomice

1.90

53%

Home win

3.85

26%

Draw

4.66

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.11

53%

BTTS No

1.90

Clean Sheet

40%

Legia Warszawa

2.47

21%

Puszcza Niepołomice

4.79

Win to Nil

21%

Legia Warszawa

4.70

4%

Puszcza Niepołomice

22.31

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.5 7.6 3.5 1.0 0.2
1 13.2 12.0 5.4 1.6 0.4 0.1
2 10.4 9.4 4.2 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 5.4 4.9 2.2 0.7 0.2
4 2.1 1.9 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.566
λ Away (xG) 0.905
Total xG 2.471
League avg home goals 1.431
League avg away goals 1.106
Legia Warszawa attack strength 1.195
Legia Warszawa defence strength 1.037
Puszcza Niepołomice attack strength 0.789
Puszcza Niepołomice defence strength 0.916
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 54 / 54