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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Fri 28 Mar 2025

19:30

Venue

Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszałka Józefa Piłsudskiego

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Legia Warszawa Win

45%

Legia Warszawa

2.23

24%

Draw

4.12

31%

Pogon Szczecin

3.23

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.3%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.2%

Home win

1 – 0

8.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.63

Legia Warszawa xG

Total xG

2.94

1.31

Pogon Szczecin xG

45%
24%
31%
Legia WarszawaDrawPogon Szczecin

2.23

45%

Home win

4.12

24%

Draw

3.23

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

56%

Over 2.5

1.79

44%

Under 2.5

2.27

34%

Over 3.5

2.94

66%

Under 3.5

1.52

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

59%

BTTS Yes

1.70

41%

BTTS No

2.43

Clean Sheet

27%

Legia Warszawa

3.72

20%

Pogon Szczecin

5.09

Win to Nil

12%

Legia Warszawa

8.32

6%

Pogon Szczecin

16.43

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.3 6.9 4.6 2.0 0.7 0.2
1 8.6 11.3 7.4 3.3 1.1 0.3
2 7.0 9.2 6.0 2.6 0.9 0.2
3 3.8 5.0 3.3 1.4 0.5 0.1
4 1.5 2.0 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.5 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.627
λ Away (xG) 1.315
Total xG 2.942
League avg home goals 1.435
League avg away goals 1.212
Legia Warszawa attack strength 1.284
Legia Warszawa defence strength 0.922
Pogon Szczecin attack strength 1.177
Pogon Szczecin defence strength 0.883
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 59 / 59