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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 15

Kick-off

Sun 9 Nov 2025

13:45

Venue

Stadion Wojska Polskiego

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Legia Warszawa Win

54%

Legia Warszawa

1.85

29%

Draw

3.46

17%

Nieciecza

5.84

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.7%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.7%

Draw

2 – 0

11.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.58

Legia Warszawa xG

Total xG

2.38

0.80

Nieciecza xG

54%
29%
17%
Legia WarszawaDrawNieciecza

1.85

54%

Home win

3.46

29%

Draw

5.84

17%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.20

55%

BTTS No

1.83

Clean Sheet

45%

Legia Warszawa

2.22

21%

Nieciecza

4.84

Win to Nil

24%

Legia Warszawa

4.12

4%

Nieciecza

28.25

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.3 7.4 3.0 0.8 0.2
1 14.7 11.7 4.7 1.2 0.2
2 11.6 9.2 3.7 1.0 0.2
3 6.1 4.8 1.9 0.5 0.1
4 2.4 1.9 0.8 0.2
5 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.576
λ Away (xG) 0.799
Total xG 2.375
League avg home goals 1.612
League avg away goals 1.164
Legia Warszawa attack strength 0.844
Legia Warszawa defence strength 0.671
Nieciecza attack strength 1.023
Nieciecza defence strength 1.159
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 47 / 14