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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Sat 23 May 2026

16:30

Venue

Stadion Wojska Polskiego

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Legia Warszawa Win

41%

Legia Warszawa

2.45

30%

Draw

3.37

29%

Motor Lublin

3.39

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.5%

Home win

0 – 1

9.5%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.35

Legia Warszawa xG

Total xG

2.46

1.11

Motor Lublin xG

41%
30%
29%
Legia WarszawaDrawMotor Lublin

2.45

41%

Home win

3.37

30%

Draw

3.39

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.96

49%

BTTS No

2.05

Clean Sheet

33%

Legia Warszawa

3.05

26%

Motor Lublin

3.86

Win to Nil

13%

Legia Warszawa

7.46

8%

Motor Lublin

13.08

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.5 9.5 5.3 2.0 0.5 0.1
1 11.5 12.8 7.1 2.6 0.7 0.2
2 7.8 8.6 4.8 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 3.5 3.9 2.2 0.8 0.2
4 1.2 1.3 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.350
λ Away (xG) 1.114
Total xG 2.464
League avg home goals 1.382
League avg away goals 1.175
Legia Warszawa attack strength 0.885
Legia Warszawa defence strength 0.791
Motor Lublin attack strength 1.198
Motor Lublin defence strength 1.104
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 67 / 67