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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Mon 21 Apr 2025

16:30

Venue

Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszałka Józefa Piłsudskiego

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Legia Warszawa Win

61%

Legia Warszawa

1.64

22%

Draw

4.54

17%

Lechia Gdansk

5.92

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.1%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

11.3%

Home win

1 – 1

10.5%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.88

Legia Warszawa xG

Total xG

2.74

0.87

Lechia Gdansk xG

61%
22%
17%
Legia WarszawaDrawLechia Gdansk

1.64

61%

Home win

4.54

22%

Draw

5.92

17%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.04

51%

BTTS No

1.97

Clean Sheet

42%

Legia Warszawa

2.38

15%

Lechia Gdansk

6.52

Win to Nil

26%

Legia Warszawa

3.90

3%

Lechia Gdansk

38.61

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.4 5.6 2.4 0.7 0.2
1 12.1 10.5 4.5 1.3 0.3
2 11.3 9.8 4.3 1.2 0.3
3 7.1 6.1 2.7 0.8 0.2
4 3.3 2.9 1.2 0.4 0.1
5 1.2 1.1 0.5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.875
λ Away (xG) 0.868
Total xG 2.743
League avg home goals 1.471
League avg away goals 1.227
Legia Warszawa attack strength 0.992
Legia Warszawa defence strength 0.825
Lechia Gdansk attack strength 0.858
Lechia Gdansk defence strength 1.284
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 62 / 28