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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 13

Kick-off

Sun 26 Oct 2025

19:15

Venue

Stadion Wojska Polskiego

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Legia Warszawa Win

42%

Legia Warszawa

2.37

29%

Draw

3.50

29%

Lech Poznan

3.42

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.6%

Home win

0 – 1

10.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.30

Legia Warszawa xG

Total xG

2.33

1.03

Lech Poznan xG

42%
29%
29%
Legia WarszawaDrawLech Poznan

2.37

42%

Home win

3.50

29%

Draw

3.42

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

41%

Over 2.5

2.44

59%

Under 2.5

1.69

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.12

53%

BTTS No

1.90

Clean Sheet

36%

Legia Warszawa

2.81

27%

Lech Poznan

3.67

Win to Nil

15%

Legia Warszawa

6.67

8%

Lech Poznan

12.55

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.7 10.0 5.2 1.8 0.5 0.1
1 12.6 13.0 6.7 2.3 0.6 0.1
2 8.2 8.5 4.4 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 3.5 3.7 1.9 0.7 0.2
4 1.2 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.299
λ Away (xG) 1.034
Total xG 2.333
League avg home goals 1.679
League avg away goals 1.185
Legia Warszawa attack strength 0.909
Legia Warszawa defence strength 0.732
Lech Poznan attack strength 1.192
Lech Poznan defence strength 0.850
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 45 / 45