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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Sun 11 May 2025

16:30

Venue

Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszałka Józefa Piłsudskiego

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Legia Warszawa Win

44%

Legia Warszawa

2.29

27%

Draw

3.72

30%

Lech Poznan

3.39

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.3%

Home win

0 – 1

8.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.41

Legia Warszawa xG

Total xG

2.52

1.11

Lech Poznan xG

44%
27%
30%
Legia WarszawaDrawLech Poznan

2.29

44%

Home win

3.72

27%

Draw

3.39

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.96

49%

BTTS No

2.04

Clean Sheet

33%

Legia Warszawa

3.04

24%

Lech Poznan

4.10

Win to Nil

14%

Legia Warszawa

6.98

7%

Lech Poznan

13.89

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.0 8.9 5.0 1.8 0.5 0.1
1 11.3 12.6 7.0 2.6 0.7 0.2
2 8.0 8.9 4.9 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 3.8 4.2 2.3 0.9 0.2 0.1
4 1.3 1.5 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.411
λ Away (xG) 1.113
Total xG 2.524
League avg home goals 1.554
League avg away goals 1.256
Legia Warszawa attack strength 0.945
Legia Warszawa defence strength 0.836
Lech Poznan attack strength 1.061
Lech Poznan defence strength 0.961
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 64 / 65