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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 6

Kick-off

Wed 24 Sep 2025

20:00

Venue

Stadion Wojska Polskiego

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Legia Warszawa Win

39%

Legia Warszawa

2.54

27%

Draw

3.70

34%

Jagiellonia

2.97

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.8%

Home win

0 – 1

9.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.30

Legia Warszawa xG

Total xG

2.49

1.18

Jagiellonia xG

39%
27%
34%
Legia WarszawaDrawJagiellonia

2.54

39%

Home win

3.70

27%

Draw

2.97

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

1.98

50%

BTTS No

2.02

Clean Sheet

31%

Legia Warszawa

3.26

27%

Jagiellonia

3.68

Win to Nil

12%

Legia Warszawa

8.30

9%

Jagiellonia

10.93

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.3 9.9 5.8 2.3 0.7 0.2
1 10.8 12.8 7.6 3.0 0.9 0.2
2 7.1 8.4 4.9 1.9 0.6 0.1
3 3.1 3.6 2.1 0.8 0.3 0.1
4 1.0 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.302
λ Away (xG) 1.183
Total xG 2.485
League avg home goals 1.527
League avg away goals 1.211
Legia Warszawa attack strength 1.105
Legia Warszawa defence strength 0.912
Jagiellonia attack strength 1.071
Jagiellonia defence strength 0.771
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 41 / 41