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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Sun 13 Apr 2025

19:15

Venue

Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszałka Józefa Piłsudskiego

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Legia Warszawa Win

52%

Legia Warszawa

1.94

26%

Draw

3.86

22%

Jagiellonia

4.45

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.4%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.2%

Draw

2 – 0

10.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.52

Legia Warszawa xG

Total xG

2.43

0.91

Jagiellonia xG

52%
26%
22%
Legia WarszawaDrawJagiellonia

1.94

52%

Home win

3.86

26%

Draw

4.45

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.15

53%

BTTS No

1.87

Clean Sheet

40%

Legia Warszawa

2.48

22%

Jagiellonia

4.58

Win to Nil

21%

Legia Warszawa

4.80

5%

Jagiellonia

20.40

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.8 8.0 3.6 1.1 0.2
1 13.4 12.2 5.5 1.7 0.4 0.1
2 10.2 9.3 4.2 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 5.2 4.7 2.1 0.6 0.1
4 2.0 1.8 0.8 0.2 0.1
5 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.522
λ Away (xG) 0.907
Total xG 2.429
League avg home goals 1.496
League avg away goals 1.180
Legia Warszawa attack strength 1.094
Legia Warszawa defence strength 0.822
Jagiellonia attack strength 0.935
Jagiellonia defence strength 0.930
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 61 / 61