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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Sat 11 Apr 2026

19:15

Venue

Stadion Wojska Polskiego

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Legia Warszawa Win

46%

Legia Warszawa

2.16

31%

Draw

3.25

23%

Gornik Zabrze

4.36

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

15.8%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.9%

Draw

0 – 0

12.4%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.27

Legia Warszawa xG

Total xG

2.09

0.81

Gornik Zabrze xG

46%
31%
23%
Legia WarszawaDrawGornik Zabrze

2.16

46%

Home win

3.25

31%

Draw

4.36

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

62%

Over 1.5

1.61

38%

Under 1.5

2.63

35%

Over 2.5

2.86

65%

Under 2.5

1.54

16%

Over 3.5

6.25

84%

Under 3.5

1.19

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

41%

BTTS Yes

2.44

59%

BTTS No

1.70

Clean Sheet

44%

Legia Warszawa

2.26

28%

Gornik Zabrze

3.57

Win to Nil

20%

Legia Warszawa

4.88

6%

Gornik Zabrze

15.56

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.4 10.1 4.1 1.1 0.2
1 15.8 12.9 5.2 1.4 0.3
2 10.0 8.2 3.3 0.9 0.2
3 4.3 3.5 1.4 0.4 0.1
4 1.4 1.1 0.5 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.273
λ Away (xG) 0.815
Total xG 2.088
League avg home goals 1.431
League avg away goals 1.057
Legia Warszawa attack strength 0.880
Legia Warszawa defence strength 0.951
Gornik Zabrze attack strength 0.811
Gornik Zabrze defence strength 1.010
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 61 / 61