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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 3

Kick-off

Sun 3 Aug 2025

19:15

Venue

Stadion Wojska Polskiego

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Legia Warszawa Win

54%

Legia Warszawa

1.84

25%

Draw

3.93

20%

Arka Gdynia

4.93

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.1%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.9%

Draw

2 – 0

11.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.56

Legia Warszawa xG

Total xG

2.40

0.84

Arka Gdynia xG

54%
25%
20%
Legia WarszawaDrawArka Gdynia

1.84

54%

Home win

3.93

25%

Draw

4.93

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.22

55%

BTTS No

1.82

Clean Sheet

43%

Legia Warszawa

2.33

21%

Arka Gdynia

4.76

Win to Nil

23%

Legia Warszawa

4.29

4%

Arka Gdynia

23.49

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.0 7.6 3.2 0.9 0.2
1 14.1 11.9 5.0 1.4 0.3 0.1
2 11.0 9.3 3.9 1.1 0.2
3 5.7 4.8 2.0 0.6 0.1
4 2.2 1.9 0.8 0.2
5 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.561
λ Away (xG) 0.844
Total xG 2.405
League avg home goals 1.576
League avg away goals 1.293
Legia Warszawa attack strength 0.940
Legia Warszawa defence strength 0.935
Arka Gdynia attack strength 0.698
Arka Gdynia defence strength 1.054
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 35 / 2