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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 11

Kick-off

Fri 3 Oct 2025

17:00

Venue

Polsat Plus Arena

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lechia Gdansk Win

51%

Lechia Gdansk

1.95

24%

Draw

4.19

25%

Wisla Plock

4.02

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.8%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

1 – 0

9.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.79

Lechia Gdansk xG

Total xG

2.98

1.19

Wisla Plock xG

51%
24%
25%
Lechia GdanskDrawWisla Plock

1.95

51%

Home win

4.19

24%

Draw

4.02

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

57%

Over 2.5

1.75

43%

Under 2.5

2.33

35%

Over 3.5

2.86

65%

Under 3.5

1.54

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.72

42%

BTTS No

2.40

Clean Sheet

31%

Lechia Gdansk

3.28

17%

Wisla Plock

6.01

Win to Nil

16%

Lechia Gdansk

6.39

4%

Wisla Plock

24.14

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.1 6.0 3.6 1.4 0.4 0.1
1 9.1 10.8 6.4 2.5 0.8 0.2
2 8.2 9.7 5.8 2.3 0.7 0.2
3 4.9 5.8 3.4 1.4 0.4 0.1
4 2.2 2.6 1.5 0.6 0.2
5 0.8 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.793
λ Away (xG) 1.187
Total xG 2.980
League avg home goals 1.561
League avg away goals 1.197
Lechia Gdansk attack strength 1.108
Lechia Gdansk defence strength 1.184
Wisla Plock attack strength 0.837
Wisla Plock defence strength 1.037
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 44 / 9