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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Sun 23 Feb 2025

11:15

Venue

Polsat Plus Arena Gdańsk

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lechia Gdansk Win

35%

Lechia Gdansk

2.82

34%

Draw

2.98

31%

Puszcza Niepołomice

3.22

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 0

16.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

15.6%

Home win

0 – 1

14.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.94

Lechia Gdansk xG

Total xG

1.80

0.86

Puszcza Niepołomice xG

35%
34%
31%
Lechia GdanskDrawPuszcza Niepołomice

2.82

35%

Home win

2.98

34%

Draw

3.22

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

54%

Over 1.5

1.85

46%

Under 1.5

2.17

27%

Over 2.5

3.70

73%

Under 2.5

1.37

11%

Over 3.5

9.09

89%

Under 3.5

1.12

4%

Over 4.5

25.00

96%

Under 4.5

1.04

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

35%

BTTS Yes

2.82

65%

BTTS No

1.55

Clean Sheet

42%

Lechia Gdansk

2.36

39%

Puszcza Niepołomice

2.56

Win to Nil

15%

Lechia Gdansk

6.66

12%

Puszcza Niepołomice

8.26

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 16.5 14.2 6.1 1.7 0.4 0.1
1 15.6 13.4 5.7 1.6 0.4 0.1
2 7.3 6.3 2.7 0.8 0.2
3 2.3 2.0 0.8 0.2 0.1
4 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.940
λ Away (xG) 0.859
Total xG 1.799
League avg home goals 1.424
League avg away goals 1.118
Lechia Gdansk attack strength 0.695
Lechia Gdansk defence strength 1.080
Puszcza Niepołomice attack strength 0.711
Puszcza Niepołomice defence strength 0.950
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 21 / 55