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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Sat 26 Apr 2025

13:45

Venue

Polsat Plus Arena Gdańsk

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Piast Gliwice Win

27%

Lechia Gdansk

3.71

29%

Draw

3.41

44%

Piast Gliwice

2.29

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

14.8%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

0 – 0

12.2%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.89

Lechia Gdansk xG

Total xG

2.11

1.22

Piast Gliwice xG

27%
29%
44%
Lechia GdanskDrawPiast Gliwice

3.71

27%

Home win

3.41

29%

Draw

2.29

44%

Away win

Goals Markets

62%

Over 1.5

1.61

38%

Under 1.5

2.63

35%

Over 2.5

2.86

65%

Under 2.5

1.54

16%

Over 3.5

6.25

84%

Under 3.5

1.19

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

41%

BTTS Yes

2.41

59%

BTTS No

1.71

Clean Sheet

30%

Lechia Gdansk

3.38

41%

Piast Gliwice

2.43

Win to Nil

8%

Lechia Gdansk

12.53

18%

Piast Gliwice

5.57

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.2 14.8 9.0 3.7 1.1 0.3
1 10.8 13.2 8.0 3.3 1.0 0.2
2 4.8 5.9 3.6 1.4 0.4 0.1
3 1.4 1.7 1.1 0.4 0.1
4 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.889
λ Away (xG) 1.217
Total xG 2.106
League avg home goals 1.495
League avg away goals 1.235
Lechia Gdansk attack strength 0.783
Lechia Gdansk defence strength 1.119
Piast Gliwice attack strength 0.881
Piast Gliwice defence strength 0.759
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 29 / 63