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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Sat 29 Nov 2025

13:45

Venue

Polsat Plus Arena

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lechia Gdansk Win

43%

Lechia Gdansk

2.30

27%

Draw

3.77

30%

Nieciecza

3.33

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.3%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.1%

Home win

1 – 2

7.4%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.77

Lechia Gdansk xG

Total xG

3.22

1.45

Nieciecza xG

43%
27%
30%
Lechia GdanskDrawNieciecza

2.30

43%

Home win

3.77

27%

Draw

3.33

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

62%

Over 2.5

1.61

38%

Under 2.5

2.63

40%

Over 3.5

2.50

60%

Under 3.5

1.67

22%

Over 4.5

4.55

78%

Under 4.5

1.28

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

65%

BTTS Yes

1.53

35%

BTTS No

2.88

Clean Sheet

23%

Lechia Gdansk

4.27

17%

Nieciecza

5.86

Win to Nil

10%

Lechia Gdansk

9.83

5%

Nieciecza

19.55

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.0 5.8 4.2 2.0 0.7 0.2
1 7.1 10.3 7.4 3.6 1.3 0.4
2 6.2 9.1 6.6 3.2 1.2 0.3
3 3.7 5.3 3.9 1.9 0.7 0.2
4 1.6 2.4 1.7 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.6 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.769
λ Away (xG) 1.452
Total xG 3.221
League avg home goals 1.659
League avg away goals 1.250
Lechia Gdansk attack strength 0.960
Lechia Gdansk defence strength 1.088
Nieciecza attack strength 1.067
Nieciecza defence strength 1.111
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 50 / 16