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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 4

Kick-off

Mon 11 Aug 2025

18:00

Venue

Polsat Plus Arena

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lechia Gdansk Win

51%

Lechia Gdansk

1.97

21%

Draw

4.86

29%

Motor Lublin

3.50

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

8.5%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

7.7%

Draw

2 – 2

7.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.22

Lechia Gdansk xG

Total xG

3.86

1.64

Motor Lublin xG

51%
21%
29%
Lechia GdanskDrawMotor Lublin

1.97

51%

Home win

4.86

21%

Draw

3.50

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

90%

Over 1.5

1.11

10%

Under 1.5

10.00

74%

Over 2.5

1.35

26%

Under 2.5

3.85

54%

Over 3.5

1.85

46%

Under 3.5

2.17

34%

Over 4.5

2.94

66%

Under 4.5

1.52

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

72%

BTTS Yes

1.39

28%

BTTS No

3.57

Clean Sheet

19%

Lechia Gdansk

5.17

11%

Motor Lublin

9.20

Win to Nil

10%

Lechia Gdansk

10.16

3%

Motor Lublin

32.22

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.1 3.5 2.8 1.6 0.6 0.2
1 4.7 7.7 6.3 3.4 1.4 0.5
2 5.2 8.5 7.0 3.8 1.6 0.5
3 3.8 6.3 5.2 2.8 1.2 0.4
4 2.1 3.5 2.9 1.6 0.6 0.2
5 0.9 1.5 1.3 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.219
λ Away (xG) 1.643
Total xG 3.862
League avg home goals 1.605
League avg away goals 1.248
Lechia Gdansk attack strength 1.146
Lechia Gdansk defence strength 1.336
Motor Lublin attack strength 0.985
Motor Lublin defence strength 1.206
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 37 / 36