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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 2

Kick-off

Sat 26 Jul 2025

19:15

Venue

Polsat Plus Arena

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lechia Gdansk Win

40%

Lechia Gdansk

2.52

24%

Draw

4.11

36%

Lech Poznan

2.77

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.2%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.6%

Home win

1 – 2

8.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.53

Lechia Gdansk xG

Total xG

2.99

1.45

Lech Poznan xG

40%
24%
36%
Lechia GdanskDrawLech Poznan

2.52

40%

Home win

4.11

24%

Draw

2.77

36%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

57%

Over 2.5

1.75

43%

Under 2.5

2.33

35%

Over 3.5

2.86

65%

Under 3.5

1.54

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.66

40%

BTTS No

2.51

Clean Sheet

23%

Lechia Gdansk

4.28

22%

Lech Poznan

4.64

Win to Nil

9%

Lechia Gdansk

10.80

8%

Lech Poznan

12.86

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.0 7.3 5.3 2.6 0.9 0.3
1 7.7 11.2 8.2 4.0 1.4 0.4
2 5.9 8.6 6.3 3.0 1.1 0.3
3 3.0 4.4 3.2 1.6 0.6 0.2
4 1.2 1.7 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.534
λ Away (xG) 1.453
Total xG 2.987
League avg home goals 1.518
League avg away goals 1.244
Lechia Gdansk attack strength 1.065
Lechia Gdansk defence strength 1.106
Lech Poznan attack strength 1.056
Lech Poznan defence strength 0.949
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 35 / 35