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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Sat 29 Mar 2025

16:30

Venue

Polsat Plus Arena Gdańsk

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Jagiellonia Win

22%

Lechia Gdansk

4.48

27%

Draw

3.77

51%

Jagiellonia

1.95

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

14.2%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.3%

Draw

0 – 2

10.4%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.87

Lechia Gdansk xG

Total xG

2.34

1.47

Jagiellonia xG

22%
27%
51%
Lechia GdanskDrawJagiellonia

4.48

22%

Home win

3.77

27%

Draw

1.95

51%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

41%

Over 2.5

2.44

59%

Under 2.5

1.69

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.24

55%

BTTS No

1.81

Clean Sheet

23%

Lechia Gdansk

4.34

42%

Jagiellonia

2.38

Win to Nil

5%

Lechia Gdansk

19.44

21%

Jagiellonia

4.66

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.7 14.2 10.4 5.1 1.9 0.5
1 8.4 12.3 9.0 4.4 1.6 0.5
2 3.7 5.4 3.9 1.9 0.7 0.2
3 1.1 1.6 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.1
4 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1
5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.869
λ Away (xG) 1.467
Total xG 2.336
League avg home goals 1.432
League avg away goals 1.195
Lechia Gdansk attack strength 0.647
Lechia Gdansk defence strength 1.183
Jagiellonia attack strength 1.038
Jagiellonia defence strength 0.939
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 25 / 59