Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Fri 5 Dec 2025

19:30

Venue

Polsat Plus Arena

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lechia Gdansk Win

53%

Lechia Gdansk

1.90

28%

Draw

3.64

20%

Gornik Zabrze

5.05

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.2%

Home win

2 – 1

9.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.82

Lechia Gdansk xG

Total xG

2.88

1.07

Gornik Zabrze xG

53%
28%
20%
Lechia GdanskDrawGornik Zabrze

1.90

53%

Home win

3.64

28%

Draw

5.05

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.75

43%

BTTS No

2.34

Clean Sheet

34%

Lechia Gdansk

2.90

16%

Gornik Zabrze

6.16

Win to Nil

18%

Lechia Gdansk

5.51

3%

Gornik Zabrze

31.12

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.6 6.0 3.2 1.1 0.3 0.1
1 10.2 10.8 5.8 2.1 0.5 0.1
2 9.2 9.8 5.2 1.9 0.5 0.1
3 5.6 6.0 3.2 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 2.5 2.7 1.4 0.5 0.1
5 0.9 1.0 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.818
λ Away (xG) 1.066
Total xG 2.884
League avg home goals 1.628
League avg away goals 1.220
Lechia Gdansk attack strength 1.168
Lechia Gdansk defence strength 1.062
Gornik Zabrze attack strength 0.823
Gornik Zabrze defence strength 0.957
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 51 / 51