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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 6

Kick-off

Sun 24 Aug 2025

16:30

Venue

Polsat Plus Arena

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lechia Gdansk Win

60%

Lechia Gdansk

1.65

21%

Draw

4.74

18%

Arka Gdynia

5.43

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.6%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

8.6%

Draw

2 – 0

8.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.25

Lechia Gdansk xG

Total xG

3.45

1.19

Arka Gdynia xG

60%
21%
18%
Lechia GdanskDrawArka Gdynia

1.65

60%

Home win

4.74

21%

Draw

5.43

18%

Away win

Goals Markets

86%

Over 1.5

1.16

14%

Under 1.5

7.14

67%

Over 2.5

1.49

33%

Under 2.5

3.03

45%

Over 3.5

2.22

55%

Under 3.5

1.82

26%

Over 4.5

3.85

74%

Under 4.5

1.35

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

63%

BTTS Yes

1.58

37%

BTTS No

2.72

Clean Sheet

30%

Lechia Gdansk

3.30

10%

Arka Gdynia

9.53

Win to Nil

18%

Lechia Gdansk

5.46

2%

Arka Gdynia

51.71

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.2 3.8 2.3 0.9 0.3 0.1
1 7.2 8.6 5.1 2.0 0.6 0.1
2 8.1 9.6 5.8 2.3 0.7 0.2
3 6.1 7.2 4.3 1.7 0.5 0.1
4 3.4 4.1 2.4 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 1.5 1.8 1.1 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.254
λ Away (xG) 1.194
Total xG 3.448
League avg home goals 1.621
League avg away goals 1.244
Lechia Gdansk attack strength 1.199
Lechia Gdansk defence strength 1.461
Arka Gdynia attack strength 0.658
Arka Gdynia defence strength 1.160
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 39 / 5