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Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Sat 23 May 2026

16:30

Venue

Stadion Poznan

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lech Poznan Win

61%

Lech Poznan

1.65

22%

Draw

4.65

18%

Wisla Plock

5.63

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

8.8%

Draw

2 – 0

8.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.22

Lech Poznan xG

Total xG

3.37

1.15

Wisla Plock xG

61%
22%
18%
Lech PoznanDrawWisla Plock

1.65

61%

Home win

4.65

22%

Draw

5.63

18%

Away win

Goals Markets

85%

Over 1.5

1.18

15%

Under 1.5

6.67

65%

Over 2.5

1.54

35%

Under 2.5

2.86

43%

Over 3.5

2.33

57%

Under 3.5

1.75

25%

Over 4.5

4.00

75%

Under 4.5

1.33

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

62%

BTTS Yes

1.62

38%

BTTS No

2.62

Clean Sheet

32%

Lech Poznan

3.15

11%

Wisla Plock

9.22

Win to Nil

19%

Lech Poznan

5.19

2%

Wisla Plock

51.89

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.4 4.0 2.3 0.9 0.2 0.1
1 7.6 8.8 5.0 1.9 0.6 0.1
2 8.5 9.7 5.6 2.1 0.6 0.1
3 6.3 7.2 4.1 1.6 0.5 0.1
4 3.5 4.0 2.3 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 1.6 1.8 1.0 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.221
λ Away (xG) 1.148
Total xG 3.369
League avg home goals 1.382
League avg away goals 1.175
Lech Poznan attack strength 1.462
Lech Poznan defence strength 1.140
Wisla Plock attack strength 0.857
Wisla Plock defence strength 1.099
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 67 / 33