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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Sat 8 Mar 2025

19:15

Venue

Enea Stadion

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lech Poznan Win

64%

Lech Poznan

1.56

20%

Draw

5.02

16%

Stal Mielec

6.23

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

10.3%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

1 – 0

9.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.12

Lech Poznan xG

Total xG

3.08

0.96

Stal Mielec xG

64%
20%
16%
Lech PoznanDrawStal Mielec

1.56

64%

Home win

5.02

20%

Draw

6.23

16%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

59%

Over 2.5

1.69

41%

Under 2.5

2.44

37%

Over 3.5

2.70

63%

Under 3.5

1.59

20%

Over 4.5

5.00

80%

Under 4.5

1.25

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.84

46%

BTTS No

2.19

Clean Sheet

38%

Lech Poznan

2.61

12%

Stal Mielec

8.34

Win to Nil

25%

Lech Poznan

4.08

2%

Stal Mielec

51.93

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.6 4.4 2.1 0.7 0.2
1 9.7 9.3 4.5 1.4 0.3 0.1
2 10.3 9.9 4.8 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 7.3 7.0 3.4 1.1 0.3
4 3.9 3.7 1.8 0.6 0.1
5 1.6 1.6 0.8 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.121
λ Away (xG) 0.960
Total xG 3.081
League avg home goals 1.358
League avg away goals 1.175
Lech Poznan attack strength 1.372
Lech Poznan defence strength 0.885
Stal Mielec attack strength 0.922
Stal Mielec defence strength 1.139
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 57 / 57