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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Sat 3 May 2025

19:15

Venue

Enea Stadion

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lech Poznan Win

70%

Lech Poznan

1.43

18%

Draw

5.63

12%

Puszcza Niepołomice

8.29

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

11.5%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

10.1%

Home win

2 – 1

9.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.29

Lech Poznan xG

Total xG

3.12

0.83

Puszcza Niepołomice xG

70%
18%
12%
Lech PoznanDrawPuszcza Niepołomice

1.43

70%

Home win

5.63

18%

Draw

8.29

12%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

60%

Over 2.5

1.67

40%

Under 2.5

2.50

38%

Over 3.5

2.63

62%

Under 3.5

1.61

21%

Over 4.5

4.76

79%

Under 4.5

1.27

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.97

49%

BTTS No

2.03

Clean Sheet

43%

Lech Poznan

2.30

10%

Puszcza Niepołomice

9.87

Win to Nil

30%

Lech Poznan

3.28

1%

Puszcza Niepołomice

81.81

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.4 3.7 1.5 0.4 0.1
1 10.1 8.4 3.5 1.0 0.2
2 11.5 9.6 4.0 1.1 0.2
3 8.8 7.3 3.1 0.9 0.2
4 5.0 4.2 1.8 0.5 0.1
5 2.3 1.9 0.8 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.290
λ Away (xG) 0.834
Total xG 3.124
League avg home goals 1.512
League avg away goals 1.249
Lech Poznan attack strength 1.326
Lech Poznan defence strength 0.813
Puszcza Niepołomice attack strength 0.822
Puszcza Niepołomice defence strength 1.142
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 64 / 64