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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Sat 24 May 2025

16:30

Venue

Enea Stadion

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lech Poznan Win

62%

Lech Poznan

1.62

20%

Draw

4.99

18%

Piast Gliwice

5.43

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.8%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

9.0%

Draw

2 – 0

8.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.19

Lech Poznan xG

Total xG

3.31

1.12

Piast Gliwice xG

62%
20%
18%
Lech PoznanDrawPiast Gliwice

1.62

62%

Home win

4.99

20%

Draw

5.43

18%

Away win

Goals Markets

84%

Over 1.5

1.19

16%

Under 1.5

6.25

64%

Over 2.5

1.56

36%

Under 2.5

2.78

42%

Over 3.5

2.38

58%

Under 3.5

1.72

24%

Over 4.5

4.17

76%

Under 4.5

1.32

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.67

40%

BTTS No

2.50

Clean Sheet

33%

Lech Poznan

3.07

11%

Piast Gliwice

8.94

Win to Nil

20%

Lech Poznan

4.99

2%

Piast Gliwice

48.51

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.6 4.1 2.3 0.9 0.2 0.1
1 8.0 9.0 5.0 1.9 0.5 0.1
2 8.7 9.8 5.5 2.1 0.6 0.1
3 6.4 7.2 4.0 1.5 0.4 0.1
4 3.5 3.9 2.2 0.8 0.2 0.1
5 1.5 1.7 1.0 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.190
λ Away (xG) 1.121
Total xG 3.311
League avg home goals 1.568
League avg away goals 1.243
Lech Poznan attack strength 1.594
Lech Poznan defence strength 0.849
Piast Gliwice attack strength 1.063
Piast Gliwice defence strength 0.876
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 67 / 67