Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 14

Kick-off

Sun 2 Nov 2025

13:45

Venue

Stadion Poznan

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lech Poznan Win

48%

Lech Poznan

2.07

24%

Draw

4.19

28%

Motor Lublin

3.59

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.7%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.3%

Home win

1 – 2

6.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.92

Lech Poznan xG

Total xG

3.34

1.42

Motor Lublin xG

48%
24%
28%
Lech PoznanDrawMotor Lublin

2.07

48%

Home win

4.19

24%

Draw

3.59

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

85%

Over 1.5

1.18

15%

Under 1.5

6.67

65%

Over 2.5

1.54

35%

Under 2.5

2.86

43%

Over 3.5

2.33

57%

Under 3.5

1.75

24%

Over 4.5

4.17

76%

Under 4.5

1.32

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

66%

BTTS Yes

1.53

34%

BTTS No

2.90

Clean Sheet

24%

Lech Poznan

4.15

15%

Motor Lublin

6.79

Win to Nil

12%

Lech Poznan

8.58

4%

Motor Lublin

24.42

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.6 5.0 3.6 1.7 0.6 0.2
1 6.8 9.7 6.9 3.3 1.2 0.3
2 6.5 9.3 6.6 3.1 1.1 0.3
3 4.2 5.9 4.2 2.0 0.7 0.2
4 2.0 2.8 2.0 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 0.8 1.1 0.8 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.916
λ Away (xG) 1.422
Total xG 3.338
League avg home goals 1.646
League avg away goals 1.178
Lech Poznan attack strength 1.094
Lech Poznan defence strength 1.234
Motor Lublin attack strength 0.978
Motor Lublin defence strength 1.064
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 46 / 46