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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Sun 26 Apr 2026

16:30

Venue

Stadion Poznan

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lech Poznan Win

46%

Lech Poznan

2.18

23%

Draw

4.38

31%

Legia Warszawa

3.20

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

8.5%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

8.4%

Draw

2 – 2

7.1%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.03

Lech Poznan xG

Total xG

3.69

1.66

Legia Warszawa xG

46%
23%
31%
Lech PoznanDrawLegia Warszawa

2.18

46%

Home win

4.38

23%

Draw

3.20

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

88%

Over 1.5

1.14

12%

Under 1.5

8.33

71%

Over 2.5

1.41

29%

Under 2.5

3.45

50%

Over 3.5

2.00

50%

Under 3.5

2.00

31%

Over 4.5

3.23

69%

Under 4.5

1.45

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

71%

BTTS Yes

1.41

29%

BTTS No

3.46

Clean Sheet

19%

Lech Poznan

5.27

13%

Legia Warszawa

7.61

Win to Nil

9%

Lech Poznan

11.48

4%

Legia Warszawa

24.31

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.5 4.1 3.4 1.9 0.8 0.3
1 5.1 8.4 7.0 3.9 1.6 0.5
2 5.1 8.5 7.1 3.9 1.6 0.5
3 3.5 5.8 4.8 2.7 1.1 0.4
4 1.8 2.9 2.4 1.3 0.6 0.2
5 0.7 1.2 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.029
λ Away (xG) 1.662
Total xG 3.691
League avg home goals 1.401
League avg away goals 1.142
Lech Poznan attack strength 1.528
Lech Poznan defence strength 1.327
Legia Warszawa attack strength 1.097
Legia Warszawa defence strength 0.948
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 63 / 63