Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 3

Kick-off

Sat 2 Aug 2025

19:15

Venue

Stadion Poznan

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lech Poznan Win

45%

Lech Poznan

2.22

25%

Draw

4.06

30%

Gornik Zabrze

3.28

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.6%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.2%

Home win

1 – 0

9.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.59

Lech Poznan xG

Total xG

2.86

1.27

Gornik Zabrze xG

45%
25%
30%
Lech PoznanDrawGornik Zabrze

2.22

45%

Home win

4.06

25%

Draw

3.28

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.75

43%

BTTS No

2.34

Clean Sheet

28%

Lech Poznan

3.55

20%

Gornik Zabrze

4.91

Win to Nil

13%

Lech Poznan

7.91

6%

Gornik Zabrze

16.14

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.7 7.3 4.6 1.9 0.6 0.2
1 9.1 11.6 7.3 3.1 1.0 0.2
2 7.3 9.2 5.8 2.5 0.8 0.2
3 3.9 4.9 3.1 1.3 0.4 0.1
4 1.5 1.9 1.2 0.5 0.2
5 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.592
λ Away (xG) 1.268
Total xG 2.860
League avg home goals 1.544
League avg away goals 1.289
Lech Poznan attack strength 1.212
Lech Poznan defence strength 1.139
Gornik Zabrze attack strength 0.863
Gornik Zabrze defence strength 0.850
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 36 / 36