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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Sun 12 Apr 2026

16:30

Venue

Stadion Poznan

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lech Poznan Win

50%

Lech Poznan

1.99

25%

Draw

4.06

25%

GKS Katowice

4.00

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.1%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.6%

Home win

1 – 0

7.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.89

Lech Poznan xG

Total xG

3.19

1.29

GKS Katowice xG

50%
25%
25%
Lech PoznanDrawGKS Katowice

1.99

50%

Home win

4.06

25%

Draw

4.00

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

62%

Over 2.5

1.61

38%

Under 2.5

2.63

39%

Over 3.5

2.56

61%

Under 3.5

1.64

22%

Over 4.5

4.55

78%

Under 4.5

1.28

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

63%

BTTS Yes

1.59

37%

BTTS No

2.68

Clean Sheet

27%

Lech Poznan

3.65

15%

GKS Katowice

6.63

Win to Nil

14%

Lech Poznan

7.25

4%

GKS Katowice

26.50

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.1 5.3 3.5 1.5 0.5 0.1
1 7.8 10.1 6.5 2.8 0.9 0.2
2 7.4 9.6 6.2 2.7 0.9 0.2
3 4.7 6.0 3.9 1.7 0.5 0.1
4 2.2 2.9 1.8 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.8 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.892
λ Away (xG) 1.294
Total xG 3.186
League avg home goals 1.426
League avg away goals 1.069
Lech Poznan attack strength 1.441
Lech Poznan defence strength 1.239
GKS Katowice attack strength 0.977
GKS Katowice defence strength 0.921
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 61 / 61