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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Lech Poznan Win
81%
1.24
11%
8.73
8%
13.21
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
3 – 1
7.8%
Home win
Most likely
3 – 0
6.9%
Home win
4 – 1
6.9%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
3.52
Lech Poznan xG
Total xG
4.66
1.14
Arka Gdynia xG
Lech PoznanDrawArka Gdynia
1.24
81%
Home win
8.73
11%
Draw
13.21
8%
Away win
Goals Markets
95%
Over 1.5
1.05
5%
Under 1.5
20.00
84%
Over 2.5
1.19
16%
Under 2.5
6.25
68%
Over 3.5
1.47
32%
Under 3.5
3.12
50%
Over 4.5
2.00
50%
Under 4.5
2.00
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
66%
BTTS Yes
1.51
34%
BTTS No
2.96
Clean Sheet
32%
3.11
3%
33.95
Win to Nil
26%
3.84
0%
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Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
| 1 | 3.3 | 3.8 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 5.9 | 6.7 | 3.8 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 6.9 | 7.8 | 4.5 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 6.1 | 6.9 | 3.9 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 4.3 | 4.9 | 2.8 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
3.525
λ Away (xG)
1.135
Total xG
4.660
League avg home goals
1.469
League avg away goals
1.085
Lech Poznan attack strength
1.582
Lech Poznan defence strength
1.202
Arka Gdynia attack strength
0.870
Arka Gdynia defence strength
1.517
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
65 / 30