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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Fri 15 May 2026

19:30

Venue

Exbud Arena

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Korona Kielce Win

42%

Korona Kielce

2.38

33%

Draw

3.06

25%

Widzew Łódź

3.94

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.6%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

0 – 0

12.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.23

Korona Kielce xG

Total xG

2.12

0.90

Widzew Łódź xG

42%
33%
25%
Korona KielceDrawWidzew Łódź

2.38

42%

Home win

3.06

33%

Draw

3.94

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

63%

Over 1.5

1.59

37%

Under 1.5

2.70

36%

Over 2.5

2.78

64%

Under 2.5

1.56

17%

Over 3.5

5.88

83%

Under 3.5

1.20

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.29

56%

BTTS No

1.77

Clean Sheet

41%

Korona Kielce

2.46

29%

Widzew Łódź

3.40

Win to Nil

17%

Korona Kielce

5.86

7%

Widzew Łódź

13.41

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.0 10.7 4.8 1.4 0.3 0.1
1 14.6 13.2 5.9 1.8 0.4 0.1
2 9.0 8.1 3.6 1.1 0.2
3 3.7 3.3 1.5 0.4 0.1
4 1.1 1.0 0.5 0.1
5 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.225
λ Away (xG) 0.899
Total xG 2.124
League avg home goals 1.378
League avg away goals 1.102
Korona Kielce attack strength 0.973
Korona Kielce defence strength 0.986
Widzew Łódź attack strength 0.827
Widzew Łódź defence strength 0.913
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 66 / 66