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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Fri 11 Apr 2025

19:30

Venue

Stadion Miejski

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Korona Kielce Win

42%

Korona Kielce

2.40

26%

Draw

3.88

33%

Widzew Łódź

3.07

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.9%

Home win

2 – 1

8.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.44

Korona Kielce xG

Total xG

2.68

1.24

Widzew Łódź xG

42%
26%
33%
Korona KielceDrawWidzew Łódź

2.40

42%

Home win

3.88

26%

Draw

3.07

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.85

46%

BTTS No

2.18

Clean Sheet

29%

Korona Kielce

3.46

24%

Widzew Łódź

4.21

Win to Nil

12%

Korona Kielce

8.31

8%

Widzew Łódź

12.92

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.9 8.5 5.3 2.2 0.7 0.2
1 9.9 12.3 7.6 3.1 1.0 0.2
2 7.1 8.8 5.5 2.3 0.7 0.2
3 3.4 4.2 2.6 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 1.2 1.5 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.437
λ Away (xG) 1.241
Total xG 2.678
League avg home goals 1.466
League avg away goals 1.158
Korona Kielce attack strength 0.890
Korona Kielce defence strength 1.072
Widzew Łódź attack strength 1.000
Widzew Łódź defence strength 1.102
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 61 / 61