Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 15

Kick-off

Sun 9 Nov 2025

13:45

Venue

Exbud Arena

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Korona Kielce Win

48%

Korona Kielce

2.10

32%

Draw

3.17

21%

Raków Częstochowa

4.79

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

15.0%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

0 – 0

10.9%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.38

Korona Kielce xG

Total xG

2.22

0.84

Raków Częstochowa xG

48%
32%
21%
Korona KielceDrawRaków Częstochowa

2.10

48%

Home win

3.17

32%

Draw

4.79

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

65%

Over 1.5

1.54

35%

Under 1.5

2.86

38%

Over 2.5

2.63

62%

Under 2.5

1.61

18%

Over 3.5

5.56

82%

Under 3.5

1.22

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.25

56%

BTTS No

1.80

Clean Sheet

43%

Korona Kielce

2.31

25%

Raków Częstochowa

3.97

Win to Nil

21%

Korona Kielce

4.86

5%

Raków Częstochowa

19.01

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.9 9.1 3.8 1.1 0.2
1 15.0 12.6 5.3 1.5 0.3 0.1
2 10.3 8.7 3.6 1.0 0.2
3 4.8 4.0 1.7 0.5 0.1
4 1.6 1.4 0.6 0.2
5 0.5 0.4 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.379
λ Away (xG) 0.839
Total xG 2.218
League avg home goals 1.612
League avg away goals 1.164
Korona Kielce attack strength 0.996
Korona Kielce defence strength 0.749
Raków Częstochowa attack strength 0.962
Raków Częstochowa defence strength 0.859
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 48 / 47