Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Sat 17 May 2025

19:15

Venue

Stadion Miejski

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Raków Częstochowa Win

26%

Korona Kielce

3.91

29%

Draw

3.43

45%

Raków Częstochowa

2.21

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

14.8%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

0 – 0

11.7%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.88

Korona Kielce xG

Total xG

2.15

1.27

Raków Częstochowa xG

26%
29%
45%
Korona KielceDrawRaków Częstochowa

3.91

26%

Home win

3.43

29%

Draw

2.21

45%

Away win

Goals Markets

63%

Over 1.5

1.59

37%

Under 1.5

2.70

36%

Over 2.5

2.78

64%

Under 2.5

1.56

17%

Over 3.5

5.88

83%

Under 3.5

1.20

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

42%

BTTS Yes

2.37

58%

BTTS No

1.73

Clean Sheet

28%

Korona Kielce

3.56

42%

Raków Częstochowa

2.41

Win to Nil

7%

Korona Kielce

13.91

19%

Raków Częstochowa

5.32

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.7 14.8 9.4 4.0 1.3 0.3
1 10.3 13.0 8.3 3.5 1.1 0.3
2 4.5 5.7 3.6 1.5 0.5 0.1
3 1.3 1.7 1.1 0.4 0.1
4 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.879
λ Away (xG) 1.269
Total xG 2.148
League avg home goals 1.549
League avg away goals 1.274
Korona Kielce attack strength 1.025
Korona Kielce defence strength 0.994
Raków Częstochowa attack strength 1.002
Raków Częstochowa defence strength 0.554
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 66 / 66