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Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Sun 30 Mar 2025

11:15

Venue

Stadion Miejski

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Korona Kielce Win

49%

Korona Kielce

2.04

25%

Draw

3.97

26%

Radomiak Radom

3.87

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.0%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.2%

Home win

2 – 1

9.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.57

Korona Kielce xG

Total xG

2.64

1.07

Radomiak Radom xG

49%
25%
26%
Korona KielceDrawRadomiak Radom

2.04

49%

Home win

3.97

25%

Draw

3.87

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.92

48%

BTTS No

2.08

Clean Sheet

34%

Korona Kielce

2.91

21%

Radomiak Radom

4.80

Win to Nil

17%

Korona Kielce

5.95

5%

Radomiak Radom

18.57

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.2 7.6 4.1 1.5 0.4 0.1
1 11.2 12.0 6.4 2.3 0.6 0.1
2 8.8 9.4 5.0 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 4.6 4.9 2.6 0.9 0.2 0.1
4 1.8 1.9 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.569
λ Away (xG) 1.068
Total xG 2.637
League avg home goals 1.452
League avg away goals 1.177
Korona Kielce attack strength 0.927
Korona Kielce defence strength 0.901
Radomiak Radom attack strength 1.008
Radomiak Radom defence strength 1.166
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 59 / 59