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Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Fri 7 Mar 2025

17:00

Venue

Stadion Miejski

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Korona Kielce Win

42%

Korona Kielce

2.38

31%

Draw

3.23

27%

Puszcza Niepołomice

3.69

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

15.9%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

14.3%

Draw

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.11

Korona Kielce xG

Total xG

1.95

0.83

Puszcza Niepołomice xG

42%
31%
27%
Korona KielceDrawPuszcza Niepołomice

2.38

42%

Home win

3.23

31%

Draw

3.69

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

58%

Over 1.5

1.72

42%

Under 1.5

2.38

31%

Over 2.5

3.23

69%

Under 2.5

1.45

13%

Over 3.5

7.69

87%

Under 3.5

1.15

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

38%

BTTS Yes

2.64

62%

BTTS No

1.61

Clean Sheet

44%

Korona Kielce

2.30

33%

Puszcza Niepołomice

3.05

Win to Nil

18%

Korona Kielce

5.48

9%

Puszcza Niepołomice

11.24

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 14.3 11.9 4.9 1.4 0.3
1 15.9 13.2 5.5 1.5 0.3 0.1
2 8.9 7.4 3.1 0.9 0.2
3 3.3 2.7 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 0.9 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.114
λ Away (xG) 0.832
Total xG 1.946
League avg home goals 1.370
League avg away goals 1.151
Korona Kielce attack strength 0.899
Korona Kielce defence strength 0.893
Puszcza Niepołomice attack strength 0.809
Puszcza Niepołomice defence strength 0.904
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 57 / 57