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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Fri 1 May 2026

16:30

Venue

Exbud Arena

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Korona Kielce Win

41%

Korona Kielce

2.43

28%

Draw

3.61

31%

Piast Gliwice

3.21

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.0%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.5%

Home win

2 – 1

8.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.48

Korona Kielce xG

Total xG

2.74

1.26

Piast Gliwice xG

41%
28%
31%
Korona KielceDrawPiast Gliwice

2.43

41%

Home win

3.61

28%

Draw

3.21

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.77

43%

BTTS No

2.30

Clean Sheet

28%

Korona Kielce

3.54

23%

Piast Gliwice

4.39

Win to Nil

12%

Korona Kielce

8.60

7%

Piast Gliwice

14.07

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.4 8.1 5.1 2.2 0.7 0.2
1 9.5 12.0 7.6 3.2 1.0 0.3
2 7.0 8.9 5.6 2.4 0.7 0.2
3 3.5 4.4 2.8 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 1.3 1.6 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.479
λ Away (xG) 1.263
Total xG 2.742
League avg home goals 1.440
League avg away goals 1.125
Korona Kielce attack strength 0.968
Korona Kielce defence strength 0.999
Piast Gliwice attack strength 1.124
Piast Gliwice defence strength 1.061
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 64 / 64