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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Sun 9 Feb 2025

11:15

Venue

Stadion Miejski

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Korona Kielce Win

39%

Korona Kielce

2.56

26%

Draw

3.81

35%

Motor Lublin

2.88

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.1%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.7%

Home win

1 – 2

8.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.56

Korona Kielce xG

Total xG

3.03

1.47

Motor Lublin xG

39%
26%
35%
Korona KielceDrawMotor Lublin

2.56

39%

Home win

3.81

26%

Draw

2.88

35%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

58%

Over 2.5

1.72

42%

Under 2.5

2.38

36%

Over 3.5

2.78

64%

Under 3.5

1.56

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

62%

BTTS Yes

1.61

38%

BTTS No

2.63

Clean Sheet

23%

Korona Kielce

4.34

21%

Motor Lublin

4.78

Win to Nil

9%

Korona Kielce

11.13

7%

Motor Lublin

13.76

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.8 7.1 5.2 2.5 0.9 0.3
1 7.5 11.1 8.1 4.0 1.5 0.4
2 5.9 8.7 6.4 3.1 1.1 0.3
3 3.1 4.5 3.3 1.6 0.6 0.2
4 1.2 1.8 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.565
λ Away (xG) 1.468
Total xG 3.033
League avg home goals 1.442
League avg away goals 1.143
Korona Kielce attack strength 0.833
Korona Kielce defence strength 1.119
Motor Lublin attack strength 1.148
Motor Lublin defence strength 1.302
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 53 / 19