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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 2

Kick-off

Sun 27 Jul 2025

19:15

Venue

Exbud Arena

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Korona Kielce Win

42%

Korona Kielce

2.36

24%

Draw

4.22

34%

Legia Warszawa

2.94

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.8%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.9%

Home win

1 – 2

7.8%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.65

Korona Kielce xG

Total xG

3.11

1.46

Legia Warszawa xG

42%
24%
34%
Korona KielceDrawLegia Warszawa

2.36

42%

Home win

4.22

24%

Draw

2.94

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

60%

Over 2.5

1.67

40%

Under 2.5

2.50

38%

Over 3.5

2.63

62%

Under 3.5

1.61

20%

Over 4.5

5.00

80%

Under 4.5

1.25

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

62%

BTTS Yes

1.61

38%

BTTS No

2.63

Clean Sheet

23%

Korona Kielce

4.29

19%

Legia Warszawa

5.21

Win to Nil

10%

Korona Kielce

10.13

7%

Legia Warszawa

15.33

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.5 6.5 4.7 2.3 0.8 0.2
1 7.4 10.8 7.8 3.8 1.4 0.4
2 6.1 8.9 6.5 3.1 1.1 0.3
3 3.4 4.9 3.6 1.7 0.6 0.2
4 1.4 2.0 1.5 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.650
λ Away (xG) 1.456
Total xG 3.106
League avg home goals 1.547
League avg away goals 1.326
Korona Kielce attack strength 1.025
Korona Kielce defence strength 0.966
Legia Warszawa attack strength 1.137
Legia Warszawa defence strength 1.041
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 35 / 34