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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Sun 22 Feb 2026

16:30

Venue

Exbud Arena

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lech Poznan Win

31%

Korona Kielce

3.18

32%

Draw

3.13

37%

Lech Poznan

2.73

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.3%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

12.4%

Away win

1 – 0

11.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.08

Korona Kielce xG

Total xG

2.25

1.18

Lech Poznan xG

31%
32%
37%
Korona KielceDrawLech Poznan

3.18

31%

Home win

3.13

32%

Draw

2.73

37%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

39%

Over 2.5

2.56

61%

Under 2.5

1.64

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.11

53%

BTTS No

1.90

Clean Sheet

31%

Korona Kielce

3.25

34%

Lech Poznan

2.93

Win to Nil

10%

Korona Kielce

10.34

12%

Lech Poznan

8.02

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.5 12.4 7.3 2.9 0.8 0.2
1 11.3 13.3 7.8 3.1 0.9 0.2
2 6.1 7.2 4.2 1.7 0.5 0.1
3 2.2 2.6 1.5 0.6 0.2
4 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.2
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.076
λ Away (xG) 1.179
Total xG 2.255
League avg home goals 1.393
League avg away goals 1.142
Korona Kielce attack strength 0.906
Korona Kielce defence strength 1.105
Lech Poznan attack strength 0.935
Lech Poznan defence strength 0.853
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 55 / 55