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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Sun 22 Mar 2026

11:15

Venue

Exbud Arena

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Korona Kielce Win

52%

Korona Kielce

1.92

25%

Draw

4.06

23%

Arka Gdynia

4.30

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.4%

Home win

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.73

Korona Kielce xG

Total xG

2.82

1.08

Arka Gdynia xG

52%
25%
23%
Korona KielceDrawArka Gdynia

1.92

52%

Home win

4.06

25%

Draw

4.30

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.82

45%

BTTS No

2.22

Clean Sheet

34%

Korona Kielce

2.95

18%

Arka Gdynia

5.66

Win to Nil

18%

Korona Kielce

5.66

4%

Arka Gdynia

24.35

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.0 6.5 3.5 1.3 0.3 0.1
1 10.4 11.2 6.1 2.2 0.6 0.1
2 9.0 9.7 5.3 1.9 0.5 0.1
3 5.2 5.6 3.0 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 2.2 2.4 1.3 0.5 0.1
5 0.8 0.8 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.733
λ Away (xG) 1.083
Total xG 2.816
League avg home goals 1.404
League avg away goals 1.137
Korona Kielce attack strength 0.951
Korona Kielce defence strength 1.139
Arka Gdynia attack strength 0.836
Arka Gdynia defence strength 1.298
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 59 / 25