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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Mon 21 Apr 2025

13:45

Venue

Chorten Arena

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Jagiellonia Win

57%

Jagiellonia

1.74

24%

Draw

4.16

18%

Zaglebie Lubin

5.41

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.5%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

11.4%

Home win

1 – 1

11.3%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.69

Jagiellonia xG

Total xG

2.52

0.84

Zaglebie Lubin xG

57%
24%
18%
JagielloniaDrawZaglebie Lubin

1.74

57%

Home win

4.16

24%

Draw

5.41

18%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.16

54%

BTTS No

1.86

Clean Sheet

43%

Jagiellonia

2.31

19%

Zaglebie Lubin

5.40

Win to Nil

25%

Jagiellonia

4.02

3%

Zaglebie Lubin

29.21

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.0 6.7 2.8 0.8 0.2
1 13.5 11.3 4.7 1.3 0.3
2 11.4 9.5 4.0 1.1 0.2
3 6.4 5.4 2.2 0.6 0.1
4 2.7 2.3 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.9 0.8 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.686
λ Away (xG) 0.838
Total xG 2.524
League avg home goals 1.478
League avg away goals 1.204
Jagiellonia attack strength 1.251
Jagiellonia defence strength 0.821
Zaglebie Lubin attack strength 0.848
Zaglebie Lubin defence strength 0.912
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 62 / 62