Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Sat 27 Feb 2027

17:00

Venue

Chorten Arena

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

Jagiellonia Win

41%

Jagiellonia

2.43

26%

Draw

3.80

32%

Raków Częstochowa

3.08

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.4%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.9%

Home win

1 – 0

8.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.56

Jagiellonia xG

Total xG

2.93

1.37

Raków Częstochowa xG

41%
26%
32%
JagielloniaDrawRaków Częstochowa

2.43

41%

Home win

3.80

26%

Draw

3.08

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

56%

Over 2.5

1.79

44%

Under 2.5

2.27

34%

Over 3.5

2.94

66%

Under 3.5

1.52

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.67

40%

BTTS No

2.49

Clean Sheet

25%

Jagiellonia

3.93

21%

Raków Częstochowa

4.78

Win to Nil

10%

Jagiellonia

9.54

7%

Raków Częstochowa

14.70

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.3 7.3 5.0 2.3 0.8 0.2
1 8.3 11.4 7.8 3.6 1.2 0.3
2 6.5 8.9 6.1 2.8 1.0 0.3
3 3.4 4.6 3.2 1.4 0.5 0.1
4 1.3 1.8 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.564
λ Away (xG) 1.368
Total xG 2.932
League avg home goals 1.527
League avg away goals 1.160
Jagiellonia attack strength 1.042
Jagiellonia defence strength 1.029
Raków Częstochowa attack strength 1.146
Raków Częstochowa defence strength 0.983
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 34 / 34