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Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 14

Kick-off

Sun 2 Nov 2025

16:30

Venue

Chorten Arena

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Jagiellonia Win

57%

Jagiellonia

1.76

24%

Draw

4.25

20%

Raków Częstochowa

5.10

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.2%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

1 – 0

9.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.95

Jagiellonia xG

Total xG

3.02

1.07

Raków Częstochowa xG

57%
24%
20%
JagielloniaDrawRaków Częstochowa

1.76

57%

Home win

4.25

24%

Draw

5.10

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

58%

Over 2.5

1.72

42%

Under 2.5

2.38

36%

Over 3.5

2.78

64%

Under 3.5

1.56

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.75

43%

BTTS No

2.34

Clean Sheet

34%

Jagiellonia

2.92

14%

Raków Częstochowa

7.01

Win to Nil

19%

Jagiellonia

5.14

3%

Raków Częstochowa

35.77

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.9 5.2 2.8 1.0 0.3 0.1
1 9.5 10.2 5.5 2.0 0.5 0.1
2 9.3 9.9 5.3 1.9 0.5 0.1
3 6.0 6.4 3.5 1.2 0.3 0.1
4 2.9 3.1 1.7 0.6 0.2
5 1.1 1.2 0.7 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.948
λ Away (xG) 1.073
Total xG 3.021
League avg home goals 1.647
League avg away goals 1.184
Jagiellonia attack strength 1.311
Jagiellonia defence strength 1.037
Raków Częstochowa attack strength 0.874
Raków Częstochowa defence strength 0.903
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 46 / 46