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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Sat 9 May 2026

16:30

Venue

Chorten Arena

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Jagiellonia Win

39%

Jagiellonia

2.58

30%

Draw

3.36

31%

Pogon Szczecin

3.18

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.7%

Home win

0 – 1

9.5%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.34

Jagiellonia xG

Total xG

2.52

1.19

Pogon Szczecin xG

39%
30%
31%
JagielloniaDrawPogon Szczecin

2.58

39%

Home win

3.36

30%

Draw

3.18

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.90

47%

BTTS No

2.12

Clean Sheet

31%

Jagiellonia

3.27

26%

Pogon Szczecin

3.82

Win to Nil

12%

Jagiellonia

8.44

8%

Pogon Szczecin

12.13

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.0 9.5 5.6 2.2 0.7 0.2
1 10.7 12.7 7.5 3.0 0.9 0.2
2 7.2 8.5 5.0 2.0 0.6 0.1
3 3.2 3.8 2.3 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 1.1 1.3 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.339
λ Away (xG) 1.185
Total xG 2.524
League avg home goals 1.461
League avg away goals 1.084
Jagiellonia attack strength 1.023
Jagiellonia defence strength 1.156
Pogon Szczecin attack strength 0.945
Pogon Szczecin defence strength 0.896
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 64 / 65