Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Sat 24 May 2025

16:30

Venue

Chorten Arena

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Jagiellonia Win

47%

Jagiellonia

2.14

23%

Draw

4.35

30%

Pogon Szczecin

3.31

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.1%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.2%

Home win

1 – 2

7.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.82

Jagiellonia xG

Total xG

3.25

1.43

Pogon Szczecin xG

47%
23%
30%
JagielloniaDrawPogon Szczecin

2.14

47%

Home win

4.35

23%

Draw

3.31

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

84%

Over 1.5

1.19

16%

Under 1.5

6.25

63%

Over 2.5

1.59

37%

Under 2.5

2.70

41%

Over 3.5

2.44

59%

Under 3.5

1.69

23%

Over 4.5

4.35

77%

Under 4.5

1.30

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

64%

BTTS Yes

1.57

36%

BTTS No

2.77

Clean Sheet

24%

Jagiellonia

4.17

16%

Pogon Szczecin

6.18

Win to Nil

11%

Jagiellonia

8.92

5%

Pogon Szczecin

20.43

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.9 5.5 4.0 1.9 0.7 0.2
1 7.1 10.1 7.2 3.4 1.2 0.4
2 6.4 9.2 6.6 3.1 1.1 0.3
3 3.9 5.6 4.0 1.9 0.7 0.2
4 1.8 2.5 1.8 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.6 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.821
λ Away (xG) 1.429
Total xG 3.250
League avg home goals 1.568
League avg away goals 1.243
Jagiellonia attack strength 1.083
Jagiellonia defence strength 0.994
Pogon Szczecin attack strength 1.157
Pogon Szczecin defence strength 1.072
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 67 / 67