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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 1

Kick-off

Fri 18 Jul 2025

17:00

Venue

Chorten Arena

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Jagiellonia Win

56%

Jagiellonia

1.78

23%

Draw

4.29

20%

Nieciecza

4.88

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.6%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.1%

Home win

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.87

Jagiellonia xG

Total xG

2.92

1.05

Nieciecza xG

56%
23%
20%
JagielloniaDrawNieciecza

1.78

56%

Home win

4.29

23%

Draw

4.88

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

56%

Over 2.5

1.79

44%

Under 2.5

2.27

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.81

45%

BTTS No

2.24

Clean Sheet

35%

Jagiellonia

2.85

15%

Nieciecza

6.49

Win to Nil

20%

Jagiellonia

5.07

3%

Nieciecza

31.68

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.4 5.7 3.0 1.0 0.3 0.1
1 10.1 10.6 5.5 1.9 0.5 0.1
2 9.5 9.9 5.2 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 5.9 6.2 3.2 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 2.8 2.9 1.5 0.5 0.1
5 1.0 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.871
λ Away (xG) 1.047
Total xG 2.918
League avg home goals 1.611
League avg away goals 1.279
Jagiellonia attack strength 1.009
Jagiellonia defence strength 0.963
Nieciecza attack strength 0.850
Nieciecza defence strength 1.150
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 34 / 0