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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Sun 16 Feb 2025

16:30

Venue

Chorten Arena

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Jagiellonia Win

69%

Jagiellonia

1.45

17%

Draw

5.79

14%

Motor Lublin

7.22

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.2%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

8.2%

Home win

3 – 1

8.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.61

Jagiellonia xG

Total xG

3.73

1.12

Motor Lublin xG

69%
17%
14%
JagielloniaDrawMotor Lublin

1.45

69%

Home win

5.79

17%

Draw

7.22

14%

Away win

Goals Markets

89%

Over 1.5

1.12

11%

Under 1.5

9.09

72%

Over 2.5

1.39

28%

Under 2.5

3.57

51%

Over 3.5

1.96

49%

Under 3.5

2.04

32%

Over 4.5

3.12

68%

Under 4.5

1.47

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

63%

BTTS Yes

1.59

37%

BTTS No

2.69

Clean Sheet

33%

Jagiellonia

3.07

7%

Motor Lublin

13.57

Win to Nil

22%

Jagiellonia

4.45

1%

Motor Lublin

97.99

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.4 2.7 1.5 0.6 0.2
1 6.3 7.0 3.9 1.5 0.4 0.1
2 8.2 9.2 5.1 1.9 0.5 0.1
3 7.1 8.0 4.5 1.7 0.5 0.1
4 4.6 5.2 2.9 1.1 0.3 0.1
5 2.4 2.7 1.5 0.6 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.608
λ Away (xG) 1.121
Total xG 3.729
League avg home goals 1.415
League avg away goals 1.091
Jagiellonia attack strength 1.456
Jagiellonia defence strength 1.009
Motor Lublin attack strength 1.019
Motor Lublin defence strength 1.266
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 54 / 20