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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Sun 1 Mar 2026

13:45

Venue

Chorten Arena

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Jagiellonia Win

56%

Jagiellonia

1.80

24%

Draw

4.14

20%

Legia Warszawa

4.92

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.0%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

1 – 0

8.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.97

Jagiellonia xG

Total xG

3.11

1.14

Legia Warszawa xG

56%
24%
20%
JagielloniaDrawLegia Warszawa

1.80

56%

Home win

4.14

24%

Draw

4.92

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

60%

Over 2.5

1.67

40%

Under 2.5

2.50

38%

Over 3.5

2.63

62%

Under 3.5

1.61

20%

Over 4.5

5.00

80%

Under 4.5

1.25

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.67

40%

BTTS No

2.49

Clean Sheet

32%

Jagiellonia

3.12

14%

Legia Warszawa

7.20

Win to Nil

18%

Jagiellonia

5.63

3%

Legia Warszawa

35.45

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.4 5.1 2.9 1.1 0.3 0.1
1 8.8 10.0 5.7 2.2 0.6 0.1
2 8.7 9.9 5.6 2.1 0.6 0.1
3 5.7 6.5 3.7 1.4 0.4 0.1
4 2.8 3.2 1.8 0.7 0.2
5 1.1 1.3 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.974
λ Away (xG) 1.139
Total xG 3.113
League avg home goals 1.394
League avg away goals 1.151
Jagiellonia attack strength 1.305
Jagiellonia defence strength 1.003
Legia Warszawa attack strength 0.987
Legia Warszawa defence strength 1.085
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 55 / 56