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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 7

Kick-off

Sun 31 Aug 2025

16:30

Venue

Chorten Arena

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Jagiellonia Win

59%

Jagiellonia

1.70

17%

Draw

5.84

24%

Lechia Gdansk

4.13

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

6.6%

Home win

Most likely

3 – 1

6.4%

Home win

2 – 2

6.3%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.89

Jagiellonia xG

Total xG

4.78

1.89

Lechia Gdansk xG

59%
17%
24%
JagielloniaDrawLechia Gdansk

1.70

59%

Home win

5.84

17%

Draw

4.13

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

95%

Over 1.5

1.05

5%

Under 1.5

20.00

86%

Over 2.5

1.16

14%

Under 2.5

7.14

70%

Over 3.5

1.43

30%

Under 3.5

3.33

52%

Over 4.5

1.92

48%

Under 4.5

2.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

80%

BTTS Yes

1.25

20%

BTTS No

5.04

Clean Sheet

15%

Jagiellonia

6.62

6%

Lechia Gdansk

17.96

Win to Nil

9%

Jagiellonia

11.28

1%

Lechia Gdansk

74.17

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 0.8 1.6 1.5 0.9 0.4 0.2
1 2.4 4.6 4.3 2.7 1.3 0.5
2 3.5 6.6 6.3 3.9 1.9 0.7
3 3.4 6.4 6.0 3.8 1.8 0.7
4 2.4 4.6 4.4 2.7 1.3 0.5
5 1.4 2.7 2.5 1.6 0.7 0.3

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.888
λ Away (xG) 1.890
Total xG 4.778
League avg home goals 1.597
League avg away goals 1.253
Jagiellonia attack strength 1.279
Jagiellonia defence strength 1.302
Lechia Gdansk attack strength 1.159
Lechia Gdansk defence strength 1.413
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 38 / 40